Recovery and Resilience: Looking Ahead
Recovery and Resilience: Looking Ahead
October 1, 2020
3 min read

Recovery and Resilience: Looking Ahead

Strategies for building resilience and planning for recovery in a post-disruption environment.

In this article

Strategies for building resilience and planning for recovery in a post-disruption environment.
Recovery and Resilience: Looking Ahead
October 1, 2020
3 min read
As we’ve discussed over the last month, the supply chain is the engine of any retail and wholesale business model. When things are not running smoothly, the operation is stuck in a lower gear and the only way to create organisational resilience is to take steps to progress to the higher gears. You cannot build momentum and promote recovery or protect yourself from future disruption without first addressing existing vulnerabilities.

 Based on research we shared from McKinsey, we identified the following key areas of vulnerability:

  • Demand planning
  • Inventory management
  • Financial fragility.

Having explored a range of threats to these elements of your business, the main sources of concern were:

Changing consumer behaviours

Some of this is thanks to emerging trends being cemented during the crisis – there is less brand loyalty in place and people are increasingly comfortable with shopping online, even those who never previously would have. There’s also an expectation of extremely fast order fulfilment – speed is becoming a key battleground. The ongoing economic uncertainty around employment is having a significant impact but there are suggestions that with Christmas looking to be very different this year many will spend more to try and make it more special in these strange times. The unpredictability of consumer demand poses major forecasting issues for wholesalers.

Pace of change of product

With businesses pivoting their models and experimenting with changed product lines and new companies springing up to enter the market there is less consistency in the product offering. With lines launching and then others disappearing all the time it has become much harder to get the right product in the right place at the right time as there are no existing patterns to use as the basis for planning.

Excess stock

The uncertainty around consumer behaviour and product offering can easily lead to an excess of inventory. This then ties up valuable working capital, leaving organisations financially vulnerable. Improving inventory management by using supply chain planning software can result in optimization that reduces stock holdings by 10–30%.

Spreadsheets

A system based in spreadsheets simply can’t cope with the demands of trying to manage the above threats. When dealing with a complex market you require the ability to take a multidimensional approach to inventory forecasting and supply chain optimization.

Forward momentum

Without taking steps to achieve faster, smoother and more efficient supply chain operation, your business could very well stall. A balance of efficiency and resilience is required, addressing the issues we have outlined above and using the right tools to propel you forward.

Read our ebook Shifting Through the Gears for more detail of how AGR’s S&OP software can get your business operating in the highest gear and the impact that will have on your strategic approach to not just recovery but also future growth.

Let us show you the impact that the AGR software can have on the smooth running of your supply chain – get in touch today to see just how much of a difference it could be making to your resilience.

Related Posts
June 8, 2026
8 min read
The retail inventory method helps retailers estimate inventory value without conducting a full physical stock count. This guide explains how the method works, how to calculate ending inventory using the cost-to-retail ratio, and where it fits within modern retail operations. You'll also learn the advantages and limitations of the approach, how it compares to FIFO and other valuation methods, and why many retailers are moving beyond estimation with forecasting, replenishment, and inventory planning software. Whether you're in finance, inventory management, or retail operations, understanding the retail inventory method provides valuable context for making smarter inventory decisions.
June 3, 2026
11 min read
Most businesses accumulate SKUs over time, but more products do not always lead to better results. SKU rationalisation helps companies identify underperforming, redundant, and low-value products so they can reduce complexity, free up working capital, and improve inventory performance. This guide explains the SKU rationalisation process, key formulas, and practical frameworks used to build a healthier, more profitable product portfolio. Learn how to make data-driven decisions that improve inventory turnover, forecasting accuracy, and operational efficiency.
May 28, 2026
10 min read
Machine learning is transforming how retailers forecast demand, manage inventory, and respond to changing customer behaviour. This guide explores the most important retail use cases, from automated replenishment and assortment optimisation to pricing and supply chain planning. Learn how machine learning improves forecast accuracy, reduces stockouts, and helps retailers make faster, data-driven inventory decisions at scale. Discover the practical benefits, common challenges, and real-world examples shaping modern retail operations.